A lot of bloggers seem to still be saying that it’s still early in Florida, that when the heavy Democratic precincts of Broward and Dade come in, Bush’s unlikely 5-point lead will melt away.

Um… Dade and Broward are already in, at least mostly.  Broward has 906 out of 1044 precincts in as I write this; Dade has 802 out of 856.  Those are comparable percentages to the statewide count in progress.

Maybe the absentees — which Jeb is trying to delay counting — and some early-voter ballots will swing this to reflect something at least more reasonably approximating numbers from most pre-election and exit polls.

But my personal smell meter is going off.